Ufc Fight Night 111 Odds

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UFC Odds: Fight Night 187; Matheus Nicolau +170: Tagir Ulanbekov -181: Darren Stewart -196: Eryk Anders +162: Davey Grant +151: Jonathan Martinez -182: Gloria de Paula -133. It’s a question that Holm might have to face as she gears up for former title challenger Bethe Correia in the main event of UFC Fight Night 111. Fortunately for Holm, it appears to be a very winnable fight – according to the oddsmakers anyway. The rest of this Saturday night card is surprisingly good for a Fight. Mixed Martial Arts will heat up the UFC Apex on Saturday, Feb. 6, 2021 and Vegas Insider has all the Predictions, Odds and Preview for UFC Fight Night Alistair Overeem vs. Alexander Volkov.

The UFC heavyweight division is mid-shuffle, determining the new pecking order among the top-ranked contenders as everyone waits for Jon Jones to confirm his heavyweight debut.

Ufc Fight Night 111 Odds 2019

Last month it was Alexander Volkov jumping into the top five of the division, and now we have two more top contenders trying to maintain their spots in that group. The main event fighters are ranked close together, but the odds are as steeply contrasted as their fighting styles.

Prelims begin at 5 p.m. Saturday on ESPN+, and the main card starts at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill.

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Ufc Fight Night 111 Odds

Heavyweight main event: No. 2 Curtis Blaydes (-420) vs. No. 4 Derrick Lewis (+335)

Ufc Fight Night Odds Picks

When odds were first released, Blaydes was a more reasonable sub-3-to-1 favorite. But steady action has pushed his price further and further. It's perhaps a little surprising to see such extreme odds in a heavyweight matchup, where any fighter is one strike away from unconsciousness. Certainly, Lewis has the 'puncher's chance.' But a look at the performance metrics support Blaydes as having advantages everywhere else.

Takedowns early and often have been a key part of Blaydes' normal game plan, and that should remain the case here. His striking was originally just a setup for his wrestling, though more recently he has shown that once he wears an opponent down, he can use his hands to finish a fight. Given Lewis' subpar wrestling, expect Blaydes to exploit that discrepancy out of the gates. And assuming he's successful, he should slow Lewis down and force him to drop hands as the fight wears on.

But what about the power of Lewis? He obviously has heavy hands, though he's not particularly accurate when throwing them. And he averages about half the rate of strike attempts compared to Blaydes when at a distance. Lewis has the lowest volume of output on the feet of any established fighter on the card. So, this upset potential boils down being able to land a big clean shot when Blaydes is closing in and also how many times Lewis can force a position reset. Those fleeting moments will be his only chance, and could disappear altogether if he becomes exhausted on the mat.

Blaydes has faced plenty of stiff talent, including excellent power strikers. He knows how to stay out of danger and will commit to a dominant game plan. Eventually, he should find himself in a position to overwhelm a fatigued Lewis and get a finish.

E+ recommends: Money line play on Blaydes. Fight does not go the distance as a parlay leg. Blaydes inside the distance or by TKO will be the cheapest play for the matchup.

Best bets elsewhere on the card

The co-main event pits the sixth- and seventh-ranked women's bantamweights against each other. Both Ketlen Vieira (-270) and Yana Kunitskaya (+220) like to push the pace on the feet. But neither has scored a knockdown to date, and it's unlikely that either will get a big edge while trading at a distance. It's the closer positions that will decide things.

Kunitskaya spends a lot of time in the clinch and has owned positional control while there. If she can keep the fight on the fence, she'll get an edge. However, her takedown defense has been questionable so far. Meanwhile, Vieira has gotten the fight to the mat more often, and she has shown better control once there. She'll want to get this fight to the ground, and she'll have the advantage there.

Ufc fight night 111 odds 2019

E+ recommends: Money line play on Vieira.

Deep on the undercard, there's value lurking on an underdog. Luis Pena's (+155) performance metrics look better on paper than those of Drakkar Klose (-180) in nearly every way. Though Pena is still relatively new -- and he's stepping up in competition -- he's also still improving his game. His return has been dropping since opening, but there's still some value left on the 'dog here.

E+ recommends: Money line lean on Pena.

We want your predictions for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 187 event in Las Vegas.

Our staff picks feature includes the consensus picks from MMA Junkie readers. Simply cast your vote for each bout below, and we’ll use the official tallies that are registered by Thursday at noon ET (9 a.m. PT).

Those MMA Junkie reader consensus picks will be part of the UFC Fight Night 187 main card staff predictions we release Friday ahead of the event. UFC Fight Night 187 takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The event streams on ESPN+.

Make your picks for the fights below.

Ufc Fight Night 111

Matthew Semelsberger vs. Jason Witt

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Records: Matthew Semelsberger (7-2 MMA, 1-0 UFC), Jason Witt (18-6 MMA, 1-1 UFC)
Past five: Semelsberger 4-1, Witt 4-1
Division: Welterweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.08.21): Semelsberger -140, Witt +115

Gloria de Paula vs. Jinh Yu Frey

Records: Gloria de Paula (5-2 MMA, 0-0 UFC), Jinh Yu Frey (9-6 MMA, 0-2 UFC)
Past five: De Paula 4-1, Frey 2-3
Division: Women’s strawweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.08.21): De Paula -160, Frey +135

Davey Grant vs. Jonathan Martinez

Records: Davey Grant (10-4 MMA, 3-3 UFC), Jonathan Martinez (13-3 MMA, 4-2 UFC)
Past five: Grant 3-2, Martinez 4-1
Division: Bantamweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.08.21): Martinez -300, Grant +240

Charles Jourdain vs. Marcelo Rojo

Records: Charles Jourdain (10-3-1 MMA, 1-2-1 UFC), Marcelo Rojo (16-6 MMA, 0-0 UFC)
Past five: Jourdain 2-2-1, Rojo 3-2
Division: Featherweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.08.21): Jourdain -250, Rojo +210

Ray Rodriguez vs. Rani Yahya

Records: Ray Rodriguez (16-7 MMA, 0-1 UFC), Rani Yahya (26-10-1 MMA, 11-4-1 UFC)
Past five: Rodriguez 3-2, Yahya 3-1-1
Division: Bantamweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.08.21): Yahya -300, Rodriguez +240

J.J. Aldrich vs. Cortney Casey

Records: J.J. Aldrich (8-4 MMA, 4-3 UFC), Cortney Casey (9-8 MMA, 5-7 UFC)
Past five: Aldrich 3-2, Casey 2-3
Division: Women’s flyweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.08.21): Aldrich -140, Casey +115

Eryk Anders vs. Darren Stewart

Records: Eryk Anders (13-5 MMA, 5-5 UFC), Darren Stewart (12-6 MMA, 5-5 UFC)
Past five: Anders 2-3, Stewart 3-2
Division: Middleweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.08.21): Stewart -185, Anders +155

Fight

Manel Kape vs. Matheus Nicolau

Records: Manel Kape (15-5 MMA, 0-1 UFC), Matheus Nicolau (15-2-1 MMA, 3-1 UFC)
Past five: Kape 3-2, Nicolau 4-1
Division: Flyweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.08.21): Kape -140, Nicolau +115

Angela Hill vs. Ashley Yoder

Records: Angela Hill (12-9 MMA, 7-9 UFC), Ashley Yoder (8-6 MMA, 3-5 UFC)
Past five: Hill 3-2, Yoder 3-2
Division: Women’s strawweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.08.21): Hill -375, Yoder +290

Dan Ige vs. Gavin Tucker

Records: Dan Ige (14-3 MMA, 6-2 UFC), Gavin Tucker (13-1 MMA, 4-1 UFC)
Past five: Ige 4-1, Tucker 4-1
Division: Featherweight
Rankings: Ige No. 11
Odds (as of 03.08.21): Ige -135, Tucker +110

Philipe Lins vs. Ben Rothwell

Records: Philipe Lins (14-5 MMA, 0-2 UFC), Ben Rothwell (38-13 MMA, 8-7 UFC)
Past five: Lins 3-2, Rothwell 2-3
Division: Heavyweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.08.21): Rothwell -125, Lins +105

Misha Cirkunov vs. Ryan Spann

Records: Misha Cirkunov (15-5 MMA, 6-3 UFC), Ryan Spann (18-6 MMA, 4-1 UFC)
Past five: Cirkunov 2-3, Spann 4-1
Division: Light heavyweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.08.21): Cirkunov -145, Spann +120

Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad

Records: Leon Edwards (18-3 MMA, 10-2 UFC), Belal Muhammad (18-3 MMA, 9-3 UFC)
Past five: Edwards 5-0, Muhammad 4-1
Division: Welterweight
Rankings: Edwards No. 9, Muhammad No. 13
Odds (as of 03.08.21): Edwards -250, Muhammad +210

Full UFC Fight Night 187 fight card

MAIN CARD (ESPN+, 8 p.m. ET)

Leon Edwards vs. Belal MuhammadMisha Cirkunov vs. Ryan SpannPhilipe Lins vs. Ben RothwellDan Ige vs. Gavin TuckerAngela Hill vs. Ashley YoderManel Kape vs. Matheus Nicolau

PRELIMINARY CARD (ESPN+, 5 p.m. ET)

Ufc Fight Night 111 Odds 2020

Eryk Anders vs. Darren StewartJ.J. Aldrich vs. Cortney CaseyRay Rodriguez vs. Rani YahyaCharles Jourdain vs. Marcelo RojoDavey Grant vs. Jonathan MartinezGloria de Paula vs. Jinh Yu FreyMatthew Semelsberger vs. Jason Witt